BTC/USD – Charts & Analysis

BTCUSD | Daily Professional Trading Charts and Analysis | Forex, Indices, Commodities and Crypto Markets | Charles Clifton Forex Trader

Observations:

  • The chart above shows a solid Selloff from
    • Dec ’21 thu Jan ’20 prior support turned resistance circa $47,500
    • March ’22 saw a retest of this level along with the 200 DSMA 
    • The last two months of trading has seen a $20K decline in BTC
    • My ChartPartner Console (top Left) shows BTC
      • 3.3% down on the day
      • 32.1% down on the rolling week
      • 33.5% down on the rolling month
  • Tuesday of this week saw price test the $30K key support level.
  • Yesterday (Wed) saw price breach $30K
  • Today (Thurs) sees price dip below the Jan ’21 low of $27750
  • Price has since retraced back above this level, but as I write I see price again dip below this next psychological level.
  • ADX: We see sellers massively in control with a trend strength above 35
  • Stochastics: Seen oversold, slowing slightly as the market ascertains the significance of the $30K/$27750 handles
BTCUSD | Daily Professional Trading Charts and Analysis | Forex, Indices, Commodities and Crypto Markets | Charles Clifton Forex Trader

Observations:

  • Scaling out to the weekly chart we see the bigger picture
  • Below the ’21 low of $27750 we see very little by way of obvious support until the $12500 handle
  • ADX: Again we see sellers not just in control but gaining strength
  • Stochastics: Simply put, Stochastic remains oversold

Current Narrative:

  • The current narrative is undoubtably to the downside, with sellers in control of both the daily and weekly charts
  • The market appears to acknowledge the significance of the $27750 handle; whether this acknowledgement restrains the selling frenzy remains to be seen
  • Today’s feverish Diamond hands / HODL mentality (hold on for dear life) is being tested to it’s limits throughout this long squeeze

My Call:

  • I do not actively trade Cryptos
  • I monitor Cryptos for a couple of reasons:
    • I have many clients who do trade/hold Cryptos
    • Partly for entertainment value
    • But mostly because I’m a professional markets analyst, it’s what I do